2022 NBA Draft: Discussing the case of Chet Holmgren, Paulo Panchero, Jabari Smith or Jaden Ivey as the first possibility

Who’s the No. 1 prospect within the 2022 NBA Draft?

We are going to discover out on Thursday night who the Orlando Magic is the worth because the primary decide as they’re first total picked for the primary time since 2004–but there’s greater than a consensus view on the high of this draft among the many NBA entrance desks. And the identical for our knowledgeable group. at our finish Prime 100 Rating Comprised of a consensus drawn from rankings by CBS sports activities consultants Gary Parrish, Matt Norlander, David Cobb and myself, together with Adam Finkelstein and Travis Branham from 247 sports activities, there have been 4 totally different gamers who acquired the primary place votes.

So who’s the potential No. 1 participant within the 2022 NBA Draft?

Scouts have their opinions However our calculations within the consensus rankings decided that Chet Holmgren was worthy of the honour – however beneath every of us checklist our circumstances for being chosen as the highest skilled prospect on this 12 months’s draft. This is who every of us had within the lead, and why, as we head into Thursday evening’s draft with a variety of views on the highest of the category.

Need extra evaluation of the highest predictions within the NBA draft? Hear beneath and Subscribe to the Eye on Faculty Basketball podcast The place we take an in-depth have a look at the highest gamers heading to the subsequent degree.

The Chet Holmgren case

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I perceive the arguments that led Jabari Smith, Paulo Panchero and even Jaden Ivey to go first total within the 2022 NBA Draft. I do not assume any of them are foolish decisions. However I nonetheless actually assume Holmgren is one of the best prospect obtainable this 12 months, which is why I additionally assume Orlando ought to take him with the primary decide. He’s the elite edge protector in protection and might float assault, throw, shoot, and exploit encounters generally.

If a conventional guard was guarding it, they’d most likely go round it. If a smaller participant guards him, he can positively shoot him straight. Am I fearful concerning the slight body? Definitely, on some degree, I feel. However as ESPN’s Jonathon Jevonne famous in a latest podcast, what number of nice prospects aren’t strictly as much as greatness as a result of they’re so skinny? He could not consider something. I can not do this both. So I will assume that Holmgren’s distinctive ability set will permit him to beat his personal distinctive body and ultimately emerge as one of the best participant out of this draft. – Gary Parish

Holmgren has the best draft cap in my view. It adjustments the sport on each ends of the earth. Not many 7 toes, anyplace on the planet, can defend a ledge, lengthen the ground, and nonetheless present such an efficient inside ending presence. He is even a greater passer than I feel some individuals give him credit score for. However on high of all that, I am only a massive believer in his mentality and that inside toughness. I do know he has to construct his physique, but when there’s one factor all NBA groups have found how one can do at an exceptionally excessive degree, it is it. Adam Finkelstein

We all know the complete world is skeptical about his physique however the fact is that Holmgren hasn’t had any historical past of accidents or proven that his lack of energy is an actual handicap. You would not have the ability to throw him on the Joel Embiids of the world, however nobody may throw something at him. In 4 to 5 years, we may legitimately discuss him being one of many faces of the league together with his dribbling, passing and capturing capacity in contrast to what we have seen in his measurement and peak coupled with the truth that he is an elite defender and edge protector. Travis Branham

I perceive the attraction of Smith and Panchero, however for me the peak of Holmgren is way larger. Smith lacks gaming business potential – Holmgren can thrive fantastically on this division. Suspected as a 3-point shooter and on protection – Holmgren has a pleasant punch and is likely one of the finest edge safety prospects we have ever seen. I do not purchase the rave about my distinctive physique kind both. Holmgren has been in a position to withstand stronger gamers his entire life, and the NBA guidelines will proceed to evolve in his favour. He has already confirmed that he can carry out on the highest ranges of novice basketball, and likewise has probably the most room to enhance on any of the highest three prospects. Add all that up, and that positively appears like one of the best participant within the draft class. Colin Ward Henninger

The case of Paolo Banchero

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Whether or not it is for CBSSports.com, Eye on Faculty Basketball, or CBS Sports activities HQ, I’ve made my place on having Banchero #1 on my massive board a number of occasions in latest weeks. However right here, in alternate for the draft, once more, with feeling. Banchero is probably the most logical alternative for any participant on this class as a result of he’s probably the most persistent and progressive expertise. His Duke numbers, together with a number of different first-round gamers within the beginning lineup, had been unsatisfactory: 17.2 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 3.2 apg for the nation’s top-ranked offensive crew, per KenPom.com.

Banchero was 52% of a 2-point ACO and 33.8% of a 3-point vary. No one on this draft has Banchero’s mixture of measurement + ability + contact + passing capacity + play creation + rebounding dexterity + aggressive benefit. It has an above common deal with, can function the shaft, shoot from past the bow, not a black gap. The hesitation with him first stems from the truth that he is not more likely to do harm to a 3-point shooter like Jabari Smith, Chet Holmgren, and even Jaden Ivey. However he can nonetheless shoot her. Defensively, he has extra floor to compensate. No one is able to play within the NBA tomorrow like Banchero, and I consider he’ll ultimately show to be a multi-time star by the top of his second decade. – Matt Norlander

The case of Jaden Ivey

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There are safer prospects on the high of this class (Smith Jr.) and larger proposals for increase/breakdown as effectively (Holmgren), however nobody has the uncommon mixture of explosive sports activities and creation capacity that Ivy has on this draft. It is a human firecracker that may bang on the sting. He has the potential to evolve into an actual key guard on the subsequent degree if he continues to evolve and enhance as a choice maker.

At worst, he could possibly be the initiator of a change of tempo whose dynamic explosion helps lighten the burden of the crew’s first beginning alternative. I’d contemplate him #1 on everybody on this class on the prospect that his gameplay would enhance albeit marginally, if not dramatically, and his enchancment as a shooter over the previous 12 months bodes very effectively for him as a burgeoning star coming into the NBA. Kyle Boone

It was the case of Jabbari Smith Jr.

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What distinguishes Smith most clearly from Banchero, Holmgren and others as the highest decide within the 2022 NBA Draft is his outfield capturing. At 6-10 and with a 42% 3-point mark on 5.5 makes an attempt per recreation in his solely season at Auburn, Smith is plotting as a wonderful long-term chief on the subsequent degree. Whereas Banchero and Holmgren flashed some scope from the ocean of their lone school seasons, neither of them embarked as an elite in any facet of the sport fairly as Smith does as an out of doors shooter.

On condition that Smith additionally has a wonderful defensive rise and a thriving portfolio to create offensive pictures, he is the most secure wager for the group to at some point be an NBA star. With promising younger guards like Galen Suggs and Cole Anthony distributing basketball in Orlando, Smith can be a wonderful addition to the Magic’s core group. Though Smith could take years to achieve his full potential, it is easy to see him turn into the Magic’s high scorer early in his profession as a result of capturing contact he’ll carry to the league on day one. David Cope