Arkansas has ridden its elite protection to a state-of-the-art rating, and that strain ought to carry over effectively towards an Auburn crew that our faculty basketball selectors consider takes numerous the credit score at dwelling.
With so many high quality faculty hoop video games on show on Saturdays, you would be remiss in the event you ignored recreation evening between two SEC groups.
No. 13 Arkansas (12-2) travels to Neville Area to tackle No. 22 Auburn (11-3) in among the best video games of the day.
The Razorbacks have gained eight of their final 9 video games and rebounded from a three-point loss at LSU to open up league play with a six-point victory over a high-quality Missouri crew.
Can Auburn proper the ship after going 3-3 within the final three video games?
Confirm Faculty basketball picks and predictions to the Auburn Tigers and Arkansas Razorbacks on Saturday, January 7 to seek out out.
One of the best odds are between Arkansas and Auburn
Arkansas vs. Auburn picks and predictions
The Auburn Tigers are ranked No. 22 for Bruce Pearl, however simply barely — they probably want a win to remain within the High 25 given their document is 3-3 of their final six video games, together with a 76-64 midweek loss at Georgia.
The Tigers are ranked twenty seventh total at KenPom, checking in at #61 in offensive modified effectivity and #16 in adjusted defensive effectivity. They don’t seem to be elite in anybody space, although the miserly protection led by massive man Johnny Broom (2.5 tackles, 1.1 steals per recreation) is the calling card.
Brom and Wendell Inexperienced (12.3 ppg) are the one gamers to common double digits, and Pearl runs a deep spin that sees 10 completely different gamers averaging no less than 10 minutes per recreation. There is probably not a lot star energy on this crew exterior of Broome, however it’s a deep and proficient roster headed up by one of the vital celebrated coaches within the nation.
Then again, No. 13 Arkansas is firmly within the prime 25 rankings—and for good motive. The Razorbacks have gained eight of their final 9 video games and appear to be they’ve one other fearsome crew underneath head coach Eric Musselman.
Marquee wins is one factor this crew lacks. In two video games towards groups ranked in Kinbaum’s prime 25, Arkansas misplaced to Creighton (90-87) and wanted time beyond regulation to steer San Diego State (78-74). Including a defining win to his resume is the objective for Musselman’s facet on Saturday.
Regardless of the shortage of many wins over high-profile opponents, I consider in Musselman and this crew and I believe they’re superb and never superb wins in crew play. You possibly can simply run whoever’s in your schedule, and the Razorbacks have achieved fairly effectively up to now. This can be a proficient roster with a reliable head coach, so I am shopping for.
Arkansas is ninth total at KenPom, rating thirty ninth in offensive modified effectivity and fourth in defensive modified effectivity. This elite protection ought to assist the Razorbacks journey effectively and information them to victory.
Your finest wager: Arkansas +2.5 (-110 on FanDuel)
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Arkansas unfold evaluation vs. Auburn
Arkansas was simply over ATS 0.500 this season with a mark of 7-6-1. Auburn was once more very unprofitable at 5-9 ATS.
Musselman groups are often prepared to journey, as Arkansas is 9-2 ATS of their final 11 highway video games. The Razorbacks have achieved effectively in away video games towards robust opponents, going 8-2 ATS of their final 10 highway video games towards a crew with a profitable document.
The developments do not favor Staff Bruce Pearl as a lot. Auburn has gone 1-5 ATS in its final six video games, and is struggling to discover a groove. The Tigers have struggled towards robust competitors, going 1-5 ATS of their final six video games towards groups with a profitable document.
Ricky Council leads the Hogs with 18.4 ppg whereas two different gamers – Nick Smith and Anthony Black – common double digits. The Razorbacks are statistically the higher crew on each side of the ball and I belief Musselman greater than Pearl. Arkansas can be in for a wager. Every part factors to the hogs for me on this handicap, as I believe Auburn will get numerous love for the house yard benefit on condition that the components in favor of the Tigers finish there.
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Arkansas vs. Auburn Over/Below Evaluation
For those who wager Below on each Arkansas recreation this season, you will be a richer particular person than you thought the Hogs are 10-4 to Below.
It ought to come as no shock that Arkansas has gone Below contemplating its elite protection. The Razorbacks give up solely 62.2 ppg, good for thirty seventh nationally. They thrive on forcing the tough look, with opponents taking pictures simply 41.3% from the sector (96th total) and 28.7% from 3-point vary (twenty second).
Auburn is in no way a superb taking pictures crew, changing 43.4% of his makes an attempt from the sector (245) and solely 28.9% of his makes an attempt from deep (340). When a foul taking pictures crew faces an elite protection, it is onerous to be optimistic.
Arkansas offense is nice, however perhaps not nice. Hogs common 77.4 ppg whereas taking pictures 48.5% from the sector. The one factor they battle with is 3-point taking pictures, with solely 29.9% of their makes an attempt being transformed from behind the arc. Auburn usually closes the arc defensively, rating seventh nationally whereas limiting opponents to 27% taking pictures from downtown.
Each groups derive their identification from the best way they play in defence, and each groups battle onerous at hitting the ball from deep. I are likely to play Below as a consequence of this handicap, and the entire sits at a playable 141.5 after surprisingly leaping just a few factors since opening at 138.5. I might be snug taking part in decrease than the present quantity, and there’s a likelihood of a greater quantity arriving earlier than a tip if the streak continues.
Arkansas vs Auburn betting development should know
Arkansas is 9-2 ATS in its final 11 highway video games. Discover extra Faculty basketball betting developments For Arkansas vs. Auburn.
Arkansas vs Auburn recreation data
Location: | Neville Area, Auburn, AL |
Date: | Saturday, January 7, 2023 |
Warning: | 8:30 p.m. ET |
tv: | SEC Community |