Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs – Oct 1, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (60-97) play baseball in October. It’s a left-handed battle this afternoon, as rookie Nick Ludlow tries to lose the Reds’ four-game losing streak against veterans Drew Smiley and the Chicago Cubs (71-86), who finished 9-1 in their last game. Ten matches and currently has five in a row.


  • When: 2:20 p.m. Eastern time
  • Where: Wrigley Field
  • Weather Forecast: 67 degrees, mostly sunny
  • Television: Bally Sports Ohio, MLB Network
  • Radio: 700 watts

line up

Cincinnati Reds

Chicago Cubs

2B Jonathan India C. Wilson Contreras
3B Spencer Steer RF Seiya Suzuki
DH Kyle Farmer LF Ian Hap
1 B Donovan Solano 3B Patrick Wisdom
CF Stuart Fairchild SS Nico Horner
RF Aristides Aquino DH Frankel Reyes
LF Matt Reynolds 1 b David Pott
SS Jose Barrero CF Nelson Velasquez
C Austin Romain 2B Christopher Morell

Aristides Aquino has three home runs and five RBI in 11 players against Smyly.

start pitchers

Noun IP era xERA FIP xFIP whip K% BB%
Nick Ludlow 98.1 3.75 3.95 3.86 3.34 1.24 30.1% 8.1%
Drew Smiley 103.1 3.48 4.09 4.31 4.23 1.19 20.5% 6.0%

the Red

As the seventh overall pick in the 2019 draft, Lodolo should have done well when he got a call to the majors. And in the 2022 junior season, he fulfilled that expectation. It was a bright spot in a bad season for the Reds. On his last start last Sunday against the Brewers, he gave up a one-stroke in fours by six strokes in six innings. Six strikes have been a low total for him lately, as he has had two of his 11 and 9 games in September.

Ludlow 126 strikes in 98.1 rounds and a whiff rate of 82 percent. This long curve ball is a thing of beauty and it’s fooling a lot of hitters right now.

Lodolo faced the Cubs again this season, on August 11th at Great American Ball Park. He gave up four runs in seven runs and walked four times while hitting six in just 4.2 innings.


Except for the brief 2020 season, if you just look at the ERA, this season has been Smyly’s best since the start of his career when he was with the Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays, however, if we look closely at his splits, he’s just getting the second half of The season is incredible. In August, Smyly gave up just three runs in 22 results in 30.0 runs. He continued his impressive performance in September, minus one start against the Cardinals where he gave up seven runs in 2.1 rounds. Overall in the second half, he hit a 2.82 ERA with 50 strokes and a batting average of 0.211 for 54.1 innings. That’s a stark difference from his 4.22 ERA in the first half of the season.

Smyly hasn’t hit many hitters this season, only 89 in 103.1 innings, and BABIP isn’t unnaturally high at 0.272. He does not walk and does not give up running. Smyly forces a lot of ground balls: Roughly 42 percent of the balls in play are ground balls. Smyly also doesn’t walk much. His BB% in 2022 is 6.0%, and while this is the lowest in his career, it does indicate what kind of bowler he is. He never had a percentage higher than 10.7% during his 10 years in the major tournaments.

News & Notes

I don’t have any news and notes of significance for the Reds, so please enjoy the clip of the Seattle Mariners clinching a place in a playoff for the first time in 21 years. It brought me back to that night on September 28, 2010 when I watched Jay Bruce grab a much-anticipated post-season berth with the Reds. That memory still lives on with me, just as this memory will live on with Mariners fans for the rest of their lives.

And congratulations to Luis Castillo, Eugenio Suarez, and Jesse Winker. I’m all on the Seattle wagon in the MLB playoffs.

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