Jared Kielnik making progress

© Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

The life of any senior potential customer is full of stress, but for Jared KielnikThis pressure may have been greater than usual. You have to put extra weight on the player’s shoulders as you are an outstanding prospect in a lucrative trade. For a while, it seemed like the sailors had pulled one on the New York Mets. Kelenic . has been rated Fourth total entering the 2021 season As a 60 FV prospect, he was seen as one of the first in a wave of young players aiming to save the Seattle Mariners from a prolonged drought. But the letter on trade he sent to Seattle–where, Jay BruceAnd the Gerson BautistaAnd the Justin Dunn And the Anthony Swarzak Went to the sailors during Robinson KanoAnd the Edwin Diaz, and $20 million went to the Mets – flipped. Kelenic struggled in his stint in the major leagues, while Diaz struck half of the hits he faced in 2022. Sometimes prospects have the opportunity to adjust to the major leagues in relative calm, but Kelenic’s appearance on the first 400 came with a high level of scrutiny, and his struggles have forced us to On reconsidering his ceiling as a hitter.

However, Kelenic has taken some steps recently. In 2021, he was bad against break balls, posting 0.214 wOBA against them. Moving into 2022, Kelenic’s problems with broken balls are becoming more and more apparent. At the start of the season, wOBA dropped even more, to 0.093. That’s not a passable sign for a major league hitter, and Kielnik was fired in mid-May. After a few months in the palace, he got another chance in August, but he barely finished his cup of coffee before he was chosen again.

After Kelnic’s first demotion, Garrett Seidler baseball flyer Explore it The defensive player suffers from broken balls and irregular pitches. In this article, Seidler sought to explain why Kelenic’s swing and error problems were, and whether he and other evaluators saw it coming. Seidler noted that Kilinc’s problems aren’t related to his racquet speed or bat trajectory, and more to his lack of broken ball recognition. Hitting broken balls is a twofold process. The hitter must first see the change in rotation and speed, and then relate that to how their bodies are conditioning and swinging. The transition from inconsistently located mid-cutters to great-looking and well-positioned bluff cutouts is an essential part of any minor league hitter’s transition to the majors. Unfortunately, Kelenic’s modification period has been long overdue, and involves a lot of trial and error. His swing has gone through several iterations already in 2022, with each failing. Here’s how it fared monthly against different pitches this year:

Jarred Kelenic Whiff% by month

Month stadium type number percent whiff% woopa xwOBA
March / April Fast Bulls 113 43.6 23.7 0.423 0.358
March / April broke down 94 36.3 45.0 0.066 0.103
March / April the speed 52 20.1 53.1 0.097 0.163
mayo Fast Bulls 61 55.0 17.2 0.255 0.353
mayo broke down 30 27.0 57.1 0.197 0.123
mayo the speed 20 18.0 71.4 0.000 0.051
August Fast Bulls 52 56.5 25.0 0.221 0.221
August broke down 31 33.7 42.9 0.013 0.013
August the speed 9 9.8 14.3 0.739 0.475
September Fast Bulls 83 46.9 22.0 0.461 0.468
September broke down 67 37.9 34.5 0.130 0.247
September the speed 27 15.3 23.1 0.315 0.441

As you might expect given his struggles, shooters have been throwing in a lot of Kelenic cutters lately. Despite his ball-breaking rate this season, Kelenic has made marginal progress cutting the number of jokes against this field group. It didn’t necessarily produce great results, but when you compare his performance to previous months, it’s a pretty big leap.

Given Kelenic’s broken ball recognition issues, I think it’s important to focus on marginal tweaks and improvements. From a mechanical standpoint, Kelenic needs to put his body in a better position to hit these pitches even if getting to know her is a work in progress. The adjustments he makes can also work both ways, with pitch recognition and mechanics potentially helping pitch recognition. So let’s examine the Kelenic modifications, moving forward in chronological order to 2022. In this exercise, we will demonstrate the mechanical changes while maintaining Kelenic’s general comfort in the board. We’ll start with these two swings from April, the first on the 10th and the second on the 27th:

Some hitters will try to tackle their struggles in their current swing range rather than make more significant changes, but it took Kelenic and his coaches a few weeks to realize he was out of sync and needed to make a bigger adjustment. Noting that your current setup/swing is not working is an important part of the development process; The next step is to understand the changes that will put you in a better position to succeed. Now, until May:

This is my least favorite iteration of Kelenic this year. The swing here is separated every step of the way. Hand holding is not available. Yes, his hands do move, but there is little or no space between his upper body and his hips. In other words, it doesn’t create any stretch, which completely drains the hitter’s strength and hitting speed. Kilinc had handled the fastballs well in his career despite his overall struggles, but struggled against them in May. This swing (and the resulting performance) led to his choice of shorts.

Given his struggles, I think it was important that Kilinic focus on how to keep his body and racquet trajectory in a more varied position to hit courts in a variety of areas. Watching its fluctuations, I was more concerned with the lack of vertical bat angle (VBA) variability on a pitch-to-pitch and area-by-pitch basis. For those unfamiliar with VBA, it is simply the angle of the hitter’s racket at the moment of impact or potential impact. VBA is location and tone dependent, which means it has to change as different pitches move up and down the area. If it is no different, then you have issues like Kelenic. The following swings from August will make this clear:

against Gerrit ColeKelenic’s swing was phenomenal. He adjusted his body to get lower and lower by changing the angle of his back and shoulders to put his hands on the ball while placing his barrel under it. against Jameson Telon, though, swings as if the playing field is in the middle to the upper parts of the area. Pitch recognition plays an important role in that, but you need to be able to tune into your body when you get hit with pitch speed. The freeze frames below show what I mean:

The vertical bat angle is more or less the same at two different degrees in the same area. I would have used two swings of the same racket if I could, but that wasn’t possible here. However, these two fluctuations explain a big reason why Kelenic has a problem with incisors. He can modify his body to go down and get a fast ball, but on a toroidal curve, he doesn’t get as deep into his hinge as he did in the heater. As a result, he leaves the barrel and his hands on top of the ball, making a whiff.

It appears that Kilink’s edits in September were intended to address this issue. Whatever his situation, he needs to clean up his relationship between his upper and lower body on slower pitches. If he somehow manages to stay in his hip joint longer, he will give himself a better chance of not inhaling every cracker ball.

I absolutely love this mod from Kelenic. For the first time in at least a year, he returned to the silence on his hands during his stance. When you reach the major leagues and face the best breakers in the world, the answer to beating them is usually not more action. That’s what he’s tried on several occasions in 2022, but he seems to be settling into this situation, as he should. This is the hardest (106.8 mph exit speed) to hit by any cracking ball in the lower third or out of the area all season! Yes, I know he was out, but we can’t expect Kelenic to suddenly become a great ball breaker. Like I said before, tweaks and improvements are likely to be marginal.

The improvement in orgasm rate and xwOBA on the breakers should be celebrated after a few weeks in the palace. The best players make tweaks on the field, but Kelenic still has fewer than 600 matches in the major tournaments and is working his way through major struggles. Resting his racket on his shoulder has put him more focused on how he uses his legs and hips to interact with different speeds and zones. This is a big step forward.

I know the focus in this piece has been mainly on the slow pitches, but I have to mention that Kelenic also scored his first home run of the season against the left on the field. Tyson Miller Came to the spots he struggled with all season! If a player’s adjustments suddenly open up two areas where he can now hit the ball hard, I’d say the change is positive.

Given his potential lineage, we want Kelenic to suddenly elevate himself to stardom Julio Rodriguez But this is not realistic. What’s realistic is seeing him make improvements to the top and bottom half connection while carrying him, and he’s succeeded in changing his VBA against the different stadiums and regions. If he can keep that up and slowly improve his pitch recognition, he could turn out to be a very good hitter. I know that’s not what we were expecting, but seeing Kelenic make the hard dial on the breaker is still exciting.

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