Auburn vs. West Virginia odds
Auburn He received 5 straight SEC video games and was main going into Wednesday’s residence sport with Texas A&M. The Aggies hit the Tigers early, although, exposing some actual flaws in Auburn’s protection in a 79-63 victory on the highway.
The Tigers might be seeking to bounce again, once they come out of convention play SEC/Huge 12 Problem A highway journey to Morgantown to do West Virginia.
It was a nightmare in convention play for Bob Huggins’ Mountaineers, who began the league 0-5 with three downs on one possession or in additional time.
They hit a decisive residence win at TCU after which a Quadrant I victory on the highway Wednesday night time at Texas Tech.
Like Texas A&M, West Virginia is definitely quite a bit like Auburn on the offensive finish. Each like to assault the sting of the ramp, get to the free throw line and pull off offensive rebounds.
However the distinction on this sport must be on the defensive aspect, as Auburn confirmed indicators of slipping on Wednesday. I believe the Tigers will proceed to do that Saturday on the highway.
Auburn’s lack of ability to shoot from the perimeter has been a significant annoyance for Bruce Pearl this season.
The Tigers have hit simply 29.4% from 3 this season and 28.3% in SEC play. Each are among the many worst in the whole nation and convention.
ShotQuality information and the capturing historical past of gamers in flip recommend they’re in all probability a greater pair general, however not by a lot.
They’re ranked 316 in Open 3 common, so it is not just like the Tigers get a bunch of unguarded jumpers and do not make it. It is quite a lot of robust, contested seems from common shooters.
Not with the ability to shoot means they should go down a ramp or give you a transition to attain. They run quite a lot of catches, quite a lot of slicing work and attempt to run when doable.
The Mountaineers vary nicely in transitional protection and do a stable job guarding the ball screens.
The place Auburn can discover offensive success is with its sporadic motion. The Mountaineers play a really aggressive fashion of half-court protection that prioritizes promoting over turnover and threat to ship the opponent.
The Tigers have a tendency to show the ball over often, although, and West Virginia does a greater job of rim safety than many groups at Auburn see within the SEC. The Mountaineers have the 50 greatest protection in shut pictures, in line with Haslametrics.
Except Auburn can reside on the free throw line and get a good whistle in Morgantown – the Mountaineers make quite a lot of errors – it is laborious to see Auburn get humiliated at half court docket right here.
Auburn has the second-best three-point capturing protection within the nation and within the SEC. It is confronted quite a lot of groups that did not have shooters and did not hit open pictures when launched this season, and it created an exaggerated notion of him as a collegiate protection.
Groups shoot simply 29.8% towards Auburn on unguarded jumpers, per Synergy. This makes the Tigers a really lucky protection.
West Virginia has an above-average perimeter offense, and it is lastly time for Auburn’s protection to fall again on the skin. Texas A&M made 7 of 16 from deep on Wednesday, and the Aggies do not characteristic offense that releases the ball a lot from the perimeter.
The Mountaineers solely make 32.7% from past the 3-point arc on unguarded jumpers and need to give you a transition to create a greater look as a result of their half-court offense is missing at occasions.
West Virginia also needs to be capable of hit the road at will attributable to Auburn’s low error fee.
It’s a must to count on quite a lot of whistles on this sport, and I all the time want to assist the house workforce in an in depth sport when administration is meant to play a much bigger function than common.
auburn vs. West Virginia Guess Beck
Auburn was enormously downgraded after a double-digit residence loss to Texas A&M, and that took away a number of the worth right here.
The market is now principally saying Auburn and West Virginia are two groups, whereas earlier than Wednesday that wasn’t the case.
I do not suppose Auburn has fallen low sufficient in its defense-related metrics but, and extra decline is on the horizon.
The Mountaineers have misplaced a bunch of Huge 12 heartbreakers, however they nonetheless wrestle in Morgantown.
Get one of the best workforce at residence at probably the greatest residence gyms within the nation. As well as, you would not have to place greater than 4 factors.
West Virginia preferred to level out that Auburn’s residence loss to Texas A&M indicated greater than only a flashback.
The Mountaineers are higher than their report and are undervalued as they arrive off a grueling Huge 12 schedule.
I’d play WVU at -4 or higher.
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