Purdue vs. Ohio State odds
The #1 group within the nation heads to Columbus as Ohio State welcomes Purdue.
The Boilermakers fell to Rutgers at residence Monday, giving Purdue its first lack of the season. Purdue was 13-0 with massive wins over Duke and Gonzaga earlier than that. In the meantime, Ohio State took Northwest on the highway and improved to 10-3.
Can Ohio State defend its residence ground Thursday night time, or will 7-foot-4 Zack Eddy be an excessive amount of for the Buckeyes’ inside nook? Let’s check out the percentages and make a betting prediction.
Purdue will not be in first place after faltering in opposition to Rutgers, however that does not detract from the truth that the Boilermakers have been stellar within the opening two months and have defeated Marquette, Gonzaga and Duke with relative ease.
Success at offensive finish begins with Edey, who’s 7-foot-4. He’s used on 30.7% of his possessions whereas on the bottom, commits top-10 errors and is a double stroll.
He set online game numbers with 21.7 factors, 13.4 rebounds and a pair of.2 blocks per recreation. He’s additionally second amongst all Division I gamers in offensive rebound fee.
It is actually onerous to restrain Eddie due to his dimension. Groups incessantly attempt to double down on the place group and pressure it out of the paint.
Purdue is 20 in turnover, which suggests they not often make errors. However the Boilermakers’ weak point comes from the rotational gamers surrounding Edey. Purdue is 302 in three-point offense and is simply outdoors the highest 100 in eFG%.
Solely two gamers common double digits – Eddie and Fletcher Lauer – and the latter struggles effectively. Braden Smith has been an amazing free kicker — 41.7% from three, 8.9 factors per recreation — however he is used lower than 20% of the possessions.
There’s a lot left on the desk to humiliate Bordeaux. The boilermakers labored at a sluggish and methodical tempo, however the effectivity was seldom there.
Defensively, Matt Painter has executed an amazing job. Boilermakers do not pressure turnovers, however they not often miss – second within the FTA/FGA – and so they end twenty second in 3-point protection.
Bordeaux prefers a slower paced recreation off the sphere. That is the place his protection works greatest. Boilermakers don’t overextend and infrequently pressure contested photographs.
Regardless of her inexperience—288th within the nation—Purdue has proven she will be able to stand up to robust situations. The Boilermakers beat each Gonzaga and Duke on impartial pitch and crushed Nebraska within the Large Ten recreation on the highway.
Rebuilding his roster just about from scratch, Chris Holtmann has turned Ohio State right into a Large Ten contender.
The Buckeyes are ranked 350 inside minutes of continuity, but they sit inside the highest 75 in Division I expertise. A lot of that has come from the additions of prime transfers Sean McNeil, Isaac Likeley and Tanner Holden. Choose Swing can be again after struggling a season-ending harm after simply two video games final yr.
The tip end result was a dominant offense that ranked second in modified effectivity, per Kenpom. Ohio State has the right mixture of sharpshooters and indoor physicality. Brice Sensabaugh and Bruce Thornton each hit a triple-clip of 45.9% or higher, and Sean McNeil remained within the excessive 30s.
This heavy assault doesn’t flip the ball over and may be very aggressive on the glass. The Buckeyes are ninth in offensive rebound fee and thirty fifth in two-point offense. Zed Key’s breakout of the junior season was a significant component in OSU’s non-conference success. He averaged 13.4 factors, 8.4 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per recreation. He additionally shoots 70.6% on two-point makes an attempt.
The Buckeyes boast good offense with 4 gamers averaging in double digits, and McNeil is true behind them with a median of 9.9 per recreation. Ohio State has been held underneath 70 factors solely twice this season.
Defensively, Ohio State’s size causes a variety of perimeter turbulence. The Buckeyes are ranked tenth in 3-point protection with just one participant underneath 6-foot-4.
This is not a protection that aggressively forces turnovers—they’re 292 in TO fee—however they typically pressure contested, tough photographs. The Buckeyes are ranked twenty fourth in eFG% and forty third in FTA/FGA, which suggests they’re disciplined, too.
Holtmann’s largest downside is his dimension within the frontcourt. Key typically runs the middle place at 6-foot-8, and Ohio State has freshman Felix Okpara backing him up at 6-foot-11. The duo is an efficient rebounder and deterrent across the rim, however the lack of dimension could possibly be a difficulty in opposition to Edey.
Purdue vs ohio state betting decide
Purdue goes via an upset loss to Rutgers, however I am undecided it should bounce again in opposition to a group as skilled and bodily as Ohio State.
The Buckeyes won’t ever have a solution for Edey. He is received eight inches on Key and can gather about twice on each feed within the publish. However Ohio State’s protection has confirmed crippling and his size ought to trigger issues for Purdue’s perimeter offense.
The Boilermakers can be compelled to take robust three-yard photographs, and so they aren’t an amazing taking pictures group to start with. Contemplate the truth that they’re coming into a loud highway setting, and all indicators level to a different day of struggles.
Within the meantime, I feel this alignment is de facto good for Ohio State. Edey clearly throws a wrinkle into the sport plan, however Key has the power to stretch the ground – or at the least pull Edey off the sting.
This opens the door for each Sueing and Sensabaugh to work inside. Ohio State can win many scorers and is usually a drain on bodily energy, particularly on the offensive glass.
The Buckeyes have been the #1 offense from an effectivity standpoint all season. Common 1.179 dpi per Haslametricsand regardless of how massive Eddie is, maintain all of the playing cards within the Large Ten recreation.
Despite the fact that Purdue will not be first group for for much longer, it is nonetheless an enormous recreation for Ohio State.
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