The prevalence of this recreation is fairly excessive, however that is for good motive. SMU has struggled arduous to attain the ball up to now and the Tigers will not make something simple – which is why the school basketball elites are on the aspect of Memphis.
The Memphis Tigers are beginning to warmth up, and so they’ll look to proceed that after they welcome the SMU Mustangs to city Thursday evening.
For a lot of the hype surrounding final yr’s Memphis group, this iteration could very nicely be. He has a special degree of expertise however makes up for it with a excessive diploma of consistency and protection that’s on par with final yr.
You might make the argument that SMU has performed higher recently. Her common scoring margin during the last three video games has been -0.3, comparatively higher than -3.9 for the season. In the long run, it did not imply a lot: He misplaced two of these three video games, and he’ll come into the evening after shedding Wichita State.
What’s the most effective guess for this? Discover out on our web site Faculty basketball picks and predictions For Southern Methodist vs. Memphis.
Finest odds SMU vs. Memphis
SMU vs Memphis Picks and Predictions
That is one recreation the place the distinction feels about proper while you take a look at the metrics. Nonetheless, while you take a look at a number of the exterior circumstances, you’re drawn to at least one consequence: a guess on Memphis. So I will be rolling with the tigers tonight.
The scoring margin you talked about? The one who portrays SMU as a fairly aggressive group in most of their video games? It has a pointy drop when hitting the highway. It drops to -10.2, which implies it averages a double-digit loss each time it hits the highway.
Its assault additionally takes a stable drop when it hits the highway, too. Tonight he’ll get a cushty group at residence. So as to add to the 1-4 vs. Avenue unfold file, the Mustang is simply 2-6 ATS within the season when it has a disadvantage in consolation.
I anticipate the Memphis protection to essentially stifle SMU. There is no clear benefit for the Mustangs, and after they’ve had scoring issues this season, they’ve tended to let issues construct up shortly. Let me clarify what I imply.
SMU has one of many worst eFG percentages in basketball: at 47.1%, it ranks 310th. Memphis’ greatest function is its collegiate protection and arduous shot drive. That is why it ranks twenty seventh within the nation in eFG protection share.
SMU will get roughly 40% of its offense from two locations: level and transition combos. Tigers thrive in each areas. Their transition protection is the second greatest within the American Convention permitting simply 0.914 factors per possession, and their spot protection is not far behind – permitting simply 0.885 factors per possession.
As is commonly the case, I’ve no clue how the Mustang has achieved excessive sufficient to remain in contact right here. They have not but proven a lot promise in opposition to good defenses of their schedule – take a look at their recreation in opposition to Houston for instance – and that is a kind of.
Then again, Kendric Davis presents them with some critical matching issues, as SMU solely has one level guard on their roster who has confirmed to have the ability to constantly keep forward of the opposition.
Your greatest guess: Memphis -12.5 (-115 at BetMGM)
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SMU vs Memphis Unfold Evaluation
I am on tigers tonight. Throw of their prowess on the defensive aspect, and I will nonetheless be a fan of the choice.
Memphis commits errors on the highest charge within the American Convention, and they need to have the ability to do this right here in opposition to the Mustangs. Nonetheless, as talked about, some gamers on the listing can solely keep in entrance of the opponent’s goalkeeper. This results in them getting out of workplace even additional and at a good quantity. It is a downside for a group that has little depth.
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SMU vs Memphis Over/Underneath evaluation
I’ll put the unit at lower than 150.5 in -110 at BetFred. I see a worth on this going as much as 148. My expectations see this complete as much as about 143.5, and my handicap sees extra of an edge. Once more, I see little of a observe SMU may rating on Memphis with any regularity.
The overall right here will depend on the tempo of the sport: we go to about 75 possessions. Nonetheless, not sufficient consideration was paid to how unhealthy the Mustang offense was tonight.
Traits do little to assist us discover route. Underneath is 4-0 in SMU’s final 4 video games in opposition to a group that has a successful file, nonetheless, Over has hit Memphis in 4 straight video games after an ATS win. One thing should be given.
SMU vs Memphis betting pattern to know
The favourite is 12-5 ATS within the final 17 conferences between these groups. Discover extra Faculty basketball betting traits For SMU vs. Memphis.
Sport information SMU vs Memphis
|Location:||FedEx Discussion board, Memphis, Tennessee|
|Date:||Thursday, January 26, 2023|
|Warning:||7:00 p.m. ET|